Investor sentiment is deteriorating due to fears of an economic downturn caused by interest rate hikes in Europe and the United States. With the yen falling against stocks, which is the mainstay of the market, and investors unable to find anything to buy, investors are turning to shareholder-proposed issues. The focus of attention is on companies that have not only proposed, but subsequently withdrawn their shareholder proposals. Investors are hoping for a change in attitude toward shareholders. “I was making up for the losses in Japanese stocks with U.S. stocks,” bemoaned a man in his 40s, a retail investor living […]
The problem of maximizing
The problem of maximizing a function has been studied for several centuries by means of differential calculus. Morse’s theory can be seen as a globalization of this problem. Comparatively recently, economists have considered in the special case the problem of “optimization” of several functions simultaneously, obtaining the so-called Pareto optimum. Our aim is to indicate the place of this problem within the framework of global analysis, or the theory of several real differentiable functions on a manifold. We will generalize the notion of a Pareto optimum and define a broader broad set, which we will call the critical set Pareto […]
ANALYSIS OF METHODS OF FORECASTING FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS IN STOCK MARKETS
The high degree of uncertainty in stock markets significantly complicates the process of forecasting the dynamics of financial instruments. This problem is important both for states and investment companies, as well as for other market participants who need to make long-term investment decisions based on preventive measures to reduce the impact of financial crisis risks on their activities. To date, the main difficulties in predicting numerical series are: lack of stationarity of the process; lack of stationarity of the process; small prediction interval ignoring the strategies of individual market participants Below is an overview of the most practically used tools […]
A little more about why the recent market decline is not the limit.
The bear market is caused by a sharp contraction of the money supply due to liquidity withdrawal by the Central Bank. Even more, damage can be (and will be) done by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The QT is scheduled to start in June, but the Fed is already hinting at a tightening (outflow) of liquidity within a few months. The Fed’s effective balance sheet should shrink by $2 trillion under the QT plans, but a policy error could easily lead to a larger $3 trillion correction and bring down stock prices. Since late 2021, the market has been bearish on […]
Implementation of the coefficient of electric power consumption in the region to correct GDP growth
Our study is based on the Minsky model. According to Minsky’s theory of financial instability, economic dynamics are substantially determined by how firms finance their capital investments. At the beginning of the upward stage of the business cycle, secured financing from own development funds tends to prevail. Then gradually, as sales grow, firms actively switch to external financing by borrowing from banks. In this case, elements of speculative financing or even Ponzi-financing are widely used, when new borrowings are needed to pay off existing debt. The process of increasing the share of speculative borrowing in total business financing leads to […]
Alibaba’s Reporting
Summary Chinese e-commerce leader Alibaba released a report for the 4th fiscal quarter of 2022. The company’s revenue increased by 8.9% YoY to RMB 204.1 billion, adj. EBITDA decreased by 21.8% to RMB 23.4 billion. Adjusted net income on ADS fell 23.0% YoY to RMB 8.0. Alibaba’s revenue was 2.3% above our expectations, adj. EPS – by 10.4%, and adj. EBITDA matched them. The company’s earnings outperformed online retail sales in China, which grew only 6.6% year on year. At the same time, we note that Alibaba’s revenue grew by 19% in the whole financial year, which was expected to […]
China Second Quarter Forecast
China’s methodology fabric will prioritize “excrescence normalization” in 2022 from “methodology normalization” in 2021. The development emphasizes that the critical idea for the authority will breathe excrescence soundness. We await that the authorized GDP mark for 2022 will breathe between 5.0 and 5.5, and our excrescence embodiment of 5.3 is somewhat aloft accord as an aftereffect To achieve the growth ideal, we anticipate financial policy will come as the crucial profitable variable, with financial policy playing a secondary part in profitable support. We don’t anticipate financial policy to take the form of aggressive encouragement, inescapably, but rather anticipate a focus […]
China’s Economy Going To Grow After Covid
Summary Chinese bond foreign holdings fell a record $17.7 billion in March after losing $12.7 billion in February. LNG prices will rise later in April, heavily influenced by the pandemic. China has become one of the largest LNG producers. The Bank of China has kept the medium-term lending rate at 3.70% per annum. The five-year rate, which is at 4.60% annually, has not changed either. Even if we see falls in China’s and Asian economies, it will only mean a good moment for investment. China has become one of the largest LNG producers. Chinese bond foreign holdings fell a record […]